MOTIVE

Korean Model Of Integrated Impact and Vulnerability Evaluation of Climate Change

MOTIVE is an integrated impact and vulnerability evaluation model that has been available since April 2021. It provides basic technologies for establishing realistic climate change adaptation plan for central and local governments.

https://motive.kei.re.kr/



Model of integrated impact and vulnerability evaluation of climate change: MOTIVE



MOTIVE is a means of scientific and policy support to improve capabilities in national and regional responses to climate change

Provides risk assessment results through an integrated platform for evaluating climate change impact and vulnerability based on interactions among seven sectors (health, water management, agriculture, forestry, ecosystem, ocean, and fisheries) Provides information on climate change risk standardization (grade, economic ripple effect), hotspots, and guidance on risk management by zone/region

The Contributions of MOTIVE

Realizing a climateready society

Determination of priority and core strategies for climate change adaptation

Inducing a virtuous cycle interlinking economy, society, and the environment



A Schematic Diagram of MOTIVE

Integrated Impact and Vulnerability Evaluation



Health,Water Management,Agriculture,Forestry,Ecosystem,Ocean and Fishery→Climate change integrated evaluation→Food security,Supply service,Conservation area,SOC & land planning,Safety management,Vulnerable group→

Land Use[Land use & population density]→Cropping Agricultural production& demand

Ecology Ecosystem risks & area of climate

Hydrology[Hydrologic properties]→Water[Availability Management]→Water Use[Water resource

 management-demand]

Flooding Flood & coastal inundation vulnerability→Pest & Disease[→ Climate health impact & → vulnerable group (health)]→Forestry[Forest disaster & carbon uptake]



Decision making support by policy issue



Key features of MOTIVE



Temporal range 0

2030 2040 2050~2080

Years 2030, 2040, 2050, and 2080 (Mean of 10-year cumulative values for model results (yearly values))



Spatial range 0

1 km x 1 km

1km x 1km, South Korea (Provided that analysis is performed in units of administrative districts,watersheds, and waters for each field.)



Basic DB for use

Shared climate change scenario (KMA, KE)* and field-specific non-climate DB *KMA: Korea Meteorological Administration KEI: Korea Environment Institute



User

Climate change experts and stakeholders in central and local government, development Institute, academia and industry



Evaluation sector

Health, Water, Agriculture, Forestry, Ecosystem, Ocean, Fishery



System composition



Evaluation items of impact by sector

Health : Heatwaves, air pollution, vector-borne infectious disease

Water management : Water quality, water volume of aquatic ecosystem

Forestry : Forest tree species distribution, forest growth, forest carbon cycle, forest disaster (wildfires, landslides), changes in land cover

Agriculture : Crop productivity, suitable cultivation land, g reenhouse gas circulation in farmland, pest control

Eco system: Invasive species in the ecosystem, Climatesensitive species, Vulnerable habitat

Ocean & Fishery : Sea level rise Biomass size spectrum, red tide event



MOTIVE system for supporting policy decisionmaking

Korea Adaptation Center for Climate Change, Korea Environment Institute

5F SBC Bldg. B, 232 Gareum-ro, Sejong-Si, Republic of Korea TEL +82-044-415-7845(NF) EMAIL kaccc@kei.re.kr WEBSITE https://kaccc. kei.re.kr COPYRIGHT © 2021 KEI KOREA ADAPTATION CENTER FOR CLIMATE CHANGE ALL RIGHTS RESERVED.